EWMAC Speeds
Quick Reference
Parametri standard per EWMAC (Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Crossover) trend-following rules.
Speed Parameters
Fast Trend (Comune)
EWMAC 16/64: - Fast MA: 16 giorni span - Slow MA: 64 giorni span - Uso: Starter system, trend veloce
Medium Trend
EWMAC 32/128: - Fast MA: 32 giorni span - Slow MA: 128 giorni span - Uso: Balanced speed
Slow Trend
EWMAC 64/256: - Fast MA: 64 giorni span - Slow MA: 256 giorni span - Uso: Long-term trend capture
Lambda Conversion
Speed N → Lambda:
λ = 2 / (N + 1)
EWMAC 16/64: - Fast λ = 2/17 = 0.1176 - Slow λ = 2/65 = 0.0308
Forecast Calculation
Raw Forecast = (EWMA_fast - EWMA_slow) / σ_price
Poi scala a average absolute = 10.
Diversification Benefit
Usare multiple speeds aumenta Sharpe Ratio: - Solo 16/64: SR typical - Add 32/128: +10-15% SR - Add 64/256: +5-10% SR addizionale
Optimal: Portfolio di 3-4 speeds diverse.
Quando Usare
16/64: - Quick reaction - Higher turnover - Better in trending markets
64/256: - Smooth signals - Lower costs - Better in choppy markets
Portfolio: Combina tutti per diversification!
Concetti Correlati
- [[Forecast Scaling]] - come scalare raw output
- [[EWMA]] - formula base
- [[Forecast Diversification]] - benefit di multiple speeds